Monday, November 8, 2010

2012 Odds!!!

The midterms are over (for the most part). I mean, I still don't know who won the Alaska senate seat but I long for the days when no one cared about Alaska politics. What? I dreamt that? Oh. Well, at least nobody's talking about Delaware anymore. What? I dreamt that, too? Damn you, Ambien!

Anyway, onward to 2012! All abroad the "Who's Gonna Run" speculation train! According to 1800-sports.com, the artist formally known as Alaska's Governor matters the most:

Republican Nominee

Moneyline
Sarah Palin

+300
Mitt Romney

+400
Bobby Jindal

+500
Mike Huckabee

+500
Tim Pawlenty

+1000
Mark Sanford

+1200
Charlie Crist

+1200
David Petraeus

+1500
Newt Gingrich

+1500
Jeb Bush

+2000
John McCain

+2000
Rudolph Giuliani

+1500
Ron Paul

+2000

The odds for the democratic nomination:

Democratic Candidate

Moneyline
Barack Obama

-750
Joe Biden

+800
Hillary Clinton

+600

Joe Biden
??? Oh dear.

In the general election, President Obama remains the favorite, for now:

Winning Candidate

Moneyline
Barack Obama

-130
Sarah Palin

+1000
Joe Biden

+1500
Michael Bloomberg

+2000
Mitt Romney

+1200
Bobby Jindal

+2000
Hillary Clinton

+1000
Mike Huckabee

+1500
Tim Pawlenty

+2000
Charlie Crist

+2500
David Petraeus

+4000
John McCain

+5000
Mark Sanford

+4000
Newt Gingrich

+4000
Condoleeza Rice

+2000
Al Gore

+2000
Rudolph Giuliani

+3000
Jeb Bush

+2000
Ron Paul

+5000
Evan Bayh

+2000
Bill Frist

+2500

Hmmm. . .not so fast, Vegas

From Newsmax:
"In the poll, [of 1,000 registered voters] respondents were asked: 'If there were an election for president of the United States today, and the only two names on the ballot were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, whom would you vote for?"
Secretary Clinton crushed President Obama 60% to 40%. And speaking of crushing, looky what I found:

Click the pic to purchase. Also available, Corkscrew Bill. Oh, yes.

Ladies and gentlemen Political junkies, place your bets.

2 comments:

  1. I'm surprised Sarah's odds are this good, I see her more in 2016. Have you checked intrade.com to see how well the two stats compare?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Intrade uses a more complex "trading" formula. Palin comes in second to Romney.

    ReplyDelete